Navigating uncertainty using foresight intelligence: a guidebook for scoping scenario options in cyber and beyond (Record no. 64144)
[ view plain ]
| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 02560 a2200265 4500 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 260102b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
| International Standard Book Number | 9783031661174 |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER | |
| Classification number | 006.3 GAR |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Garvey, Bruce |
| 245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Navigating uncertainty using foresight intelligence: a guidebook for scoping scenario options in cyber and beyond |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) | |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc | Cham: |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc | Springer, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc | 2024. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Extent | xxxii, 340p.: |
| Other physical details | col. ill.; pbk.: |
| Dimensions | 24 cm. |
| 440 ## - SERIES STATEMENT/ADDED ENTRY--TITLE | |
| Title | Management for Professionals |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE | |
| Bibliography, etc | Includes Bibliography and References |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc | This book brings together a diverse range of findings on current and emerging business concerns when the authors were developing a series of 12 working Analytic Research Consortium (ARC) White Papers. It presents several, differently configured scenarios, drawing on cyber as an example; the use and further optimization of estimative/probabilistic language; communicating analytical insights and other findings concerning ‘(un)certainty’ to decision-maker end-users; and mitigating risk. It also evaluates in detail today’s rapidly evolving Gen-AI systems and technologies, e.g. those underlying OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Bard/Gemini. This includes their respective value concerning scenario development and other business-relevant methods, tools and techniques, e.g. ‘Red Teaming’. The topics discussed are assessed using the multi-methodologies of, firstly, ‘Intelligence Engineering’ (IE) and, secondly, ‘Strategic Options Analysis’ (SOA). The latter half of the book introduces an alternative scenario planning process, including use of new computer-software and AI tools. In addition to Gen-AI, we identify that the emerging discipline of Causal AI may work better for foresight and scenario activities.<br/><br/>The book is a valuable read for a diverse readership from the public and private sectors, spanning government, the military, law enforcement, education, industry, commerce, retail, and enterprises of all sizes. Also, students at business schools and high-level decision-makers, including politicians, military commanders, and C-Suite leaders in various fields, will benefit from it.<br/><br/>https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-031-66115-0 |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Business Scenario Planning |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Generative AI |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Probabilistic Language |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Intelligence Engineering |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Analytic Research Consortium |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Strategic Options Analysis |
| 700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Svendsen, Adam D. M. |
| Relator term | Co-author |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Item type | Books |
| Source of classification or shelving scheme | Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Withdrawn status | Lost status | Source of classification or shelving scheme | Damaged status | Not for loan | Collection code | Home library | Current library | Date acquired | Source of acquisition | Cost, normal purchase price | Total Checkouts | Full call number | Barcode | Date last seen | Copy number | Cost, replacement price | Koha item type | Public note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewey Decimal Classification | Not for Issue | General | IIT Gandhinagar | IIT Gandhinagar | 02/01/2026 | Shankar Book | 6818.10 | 006.3 GAR | 036569 | 02/01/2026 | 1 | 6818.10 | Books | Currency: INR, Invoice no: IN36555/25-26, Invoicedate: 22.12.2025 |
