Art of uncertainty: how to navigate chance, ignorance, risk and luck (Record no. 61556)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 01727 a2200145 4500 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 250519b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
| International Standard Book Number | 9780241658628 |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER | |
| Classification number | 501 SPI |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Spiegelhalter, David |
| 245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Art of uncertainty: how to navigate chance, ignorance, risk and luck |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) | |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc | Great Britain: |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc | Pelican, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc | 2024. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Extent | xiv, 487 p.: |
| Other physical details | ill.; hbk.: |
| Dimensions | 23 cm. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc | We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?<br/><br/>David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.<br/><br/>In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.<br/><br/>Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know.<br/><br/>https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/458199/the-art-of-uncertainty-by-spiegelhalter-david/9780241658628 |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Item type | Books |
| Source of classification or shelving scheme | Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Withdrawn status | Lost status | Source of classification or shelving scheme | Damaged status | Not for loan | Collection code | Home library | Current library | Date acquired | Source of acquisition | Cost, normal purchase price | Total Checkouts | Full call number | Barcode | Date last seen | Copy number | Cost, replacement price | Koha item type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewey Decimal Classification | General | IIT Gandhinagar | IIT Gandhinagar | 15/05/2025 | Books India | 1499.00 | 501 SPI | 035704 | 15/05/2025 | 1 | 1499.00 | Books |